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The Journals of Gerontology Series A: Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences 57:M61-M63 (2002)
© 2002 The Gerontological Society of America

Risk Factors for New Atherothrombotic Brain Infarction in Older Hispanic Men and Women

Wilbert S. Aronowa,b and Chul Ahnc

a Hebrew Hospital Home, Bronx, New York
b Department of Geriatrics and Adult Development, Mount Sinai School of Medicine, New York, New York
c Division of Clinical Epidemiology, University of Texas Medical School at Houston, Texas

Wilbert S. Aronow, CMD, Department of Medicine, New York Medical College, 23 Pebble Way, New Rochelle, NY 10804 E-mail: WSAronow{at}aol.com.

Decision Editor: John E. Morley, MB, BCh


    Abstract
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Background. We report the prevalence and incidence of atherothrombotic brain infarction (ABI) in older Hispanic men and women in a long-term health care facility.

Methods. The prevalence and incidence of ABI and the association of risk factors with new ABI were investigated in 201 Hispanic men, mean age 79 ± 8 years, and in 302 Hispanic women, mean age 80 ± 9 years, in a long-term health care facility. Mean follow-up was 42 ± 20 months in men and 47 ± 26 months in women.

Results. The prevalence of prior ABI was 33% in Hispanic men and 30% in Hispanic women. The incidence of new ABI was 24% in Hispanic men and 23% in Hispanic women. Significant independent risk factors for new ABI were age (risk ratio = 1.09 in men and 1.08 in women for each increase of 1 year of age), current cigarette smoking (risk ratio = 2.8 in men and 2.7 in women), hypertension (risk ratio = 2.8 in men), diabetes mellitus (risk ratio = 3.5 in men and 5.0 in women), prior ABI (risk ratio = 5.6 in men and 5.5 in women), serum total cholesterol (risk ratio = 1.03 in men and 1.01 in women for each 1 mg/dl increase), and serum high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol (risk ratio = 1.06 in men and 1.06 in women for each 1 mg/dl decrease).

Conclusions. Significant independent risk factors for new ABI were age, current cigarette smoking, diabetes mellitus, prior ABI, serum total cholesterol, and serum HDL cholesterol (inverse association) in older Hispanic men and women and hypertension in older Hispanic men.

ATHEROTHROMBOTIC brain infarction (ABI) is mainly a disease of the elderly (1). Risk factors for new ABI in either older men or women include male sex (1), prior ABI or transient cerebral ischemic attack (1)(2)(3), hypertension (1)(2)(3)(4)(5), diabetes mellitus (1)(3)(6), and cigarette smoking (1)(3)(7). The relationships between serum lipids and ABI (1)(3)(6)(8) and between obesity and ABI (1)(3)(6) are unclear.

There are limited data about risk factors for ABI in U.S. Hispanics, especially in Hispanics who are not Mexican Americans. We report data from a prospective study on risk factors for the incidence of new ABI in 503 older Hispanic men and women in a long-term health care facility in New York City.


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Of 3624 persons aged >=60 years in a long-term health care facility in New York City, 503 (14%) were Hispanics. The Hispanic population was from Puerto Rico and Central America. The 503 Hispanics included 201 men, mean age 79 ± 8 years (range 60 to 98), and 302 women, mean age 80 ± 9 years (range 60 to 98). The study population included unselected Hispanic persons 60 years of age and older who were not terminally ill at admission. The time frame of the study was from September 1, 1984, through December 31, 2000. The mean follow-up period was 42 ± 20 months (range 2 to 132) for men and 47 ± 26 months (range 1 to 196) for women.

Prior ABI and new ABI were diagnosed by a neurologist as previously described (9). The focal neurological signs of ischemic stroke were explained by loss of function in a restricted area of the brain corresponding to a particular vascular territory (9). New ABI was also confirmed by computerized axial tomography in 115 of 118 persons (97%).

The risk factors evaluated were age, prior ABI, current cigarette smoking, systolic or diastolic hypertension, diabetes mellitus, obesity, serum total cholesterol, serum high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, and serum triglycerides. Hypertension was diagnosed according to the criteria of the Sixth Joint National Committee (JNC VI) Report on the Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of Hypertension (10). All persons with hypertension were treated with antihypertensive drug therapy. Diabetes mellitus was diagnosed according to the American Diabetes Association's new criteria (11). The weight and height of each person were correlated with the average height-weight table for persons aged 65 to 94 years (12). A person was considered obese if he or she was >=20% above ideal body weight. Blood was drawn after a 14-hour overnight fast for determination of serum total and HDL cholesterol and triglycerides by Smith Kline Beecham Clinical Laboratories (Syosset, New York).

For analyses comparing the two groups, chi-square tests and Fisher exact tests were used for dichotomous variables and Student's t tests for continuous variables (Table 2 and Table 3 ). The relationship between prognostic variables measured at baseline and the time to the development of new ABI was analyzed using the stepwise Cox regression model (Table 4 and Table 5 ).


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Table 2. Univariate Analysis for New Atherothrombotic Brain Infarction (ABI) in Older Hispanic Men

 

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Table 3. Univariate Analysis for New Atherothrombotic Brain Infarction (ABI) in Older Hispanic Women

 

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Table 4. Prognostic Variables for New Atherothrombotic Brain Infarction (ABI) in Older Hispanic Men and Their Regression Coefficients in the Stepwise Cox Regression Model

 

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Table 5. Prognostic Variables for New Atherothrombotic Brain Infarction (ABI) in Older Hispanic Women and Their Regression Coefficients in the Stepwise Cox Regression Model

 

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Table 1 shows the baseline characteristics of the older Hispanic men and women. Table 2 and Table 3 show the association of risk factors with new ABI in 201 Hispanic men (Table 2 ) and in 302 Hispanic women (Table 3 ) and state levels of statistical significance. Table 4 lists seven significant prognostic variables for new ABI in Hispanic men and their regression coefficients in the stepwise Cox regression model. Table 5 lists six significant prognostic variables for new ABI in Hispanic women and their regression coefficients in the stepwise Cox regression model.


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Table 1. Baseline Characteristics of Older Hispanic Men and Women

 

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Previously, we reported that in 664 older men and 1488 older women, predominantly white, in a long-term health care facility the prevalence of ABI was 28% in men and 24% in women (3). The incidence of new ABI at 42-month follow-up in men and at 48-month follow-up in women was 21% in men and 17% in women (3). The prevalence of ABI in 204 older African American men and in 462 older African American women in a long-term health care facility was 41% in men and 39% in women (13). The incidence of new ABI at 40-month follow-up in men and at 48-month follow-up in women was 26% in African American men and 22% in African American women (13). In the present prospective study, the prevalence of ABI in 201 older Hispanic men and in 302 older Hispanic women was 33% in men and 30% in women. The incidence of new ABI at 42-month follow-up in men and at 47-month follow-up in women was 24% in Hispanic men and 23% in Hispanic women.

Significant independent risk factors for the development of ABI in older Hispanic men in the present study were age (risk ratio = 1.09 for each increment of 1 year of age), current cigarette smoking (risk ratio = 2.8), hypertension (risk ratio = 2.8), diabetes mellitus (risk ratio = 3.5), prior ABI (risk ratio = 5.6), serum total cholesterol (risk ratio = 1.03 for each 1 mg/dL increase), and serum HDL cholesterol (risk ratio = 1.06 for each 1 mg/dL decrease). Significant independent risk factors for the development of new ABI in older Hispanic women were age (risk ratio = 1.08 for each increment of 1 year of age), current cigarette smoking (risk ratio = 2.7), diabetes mellitus (risk ratio = 5.0), prior ABI (risk ratio = 5.5), serum total cholesterol (risk ratio = 1.01 for each 1 mg/dl increase), and serum HDL cholesterol (risk ratio = 1.06 for each 1 mg/dl decrease.

Significant independent risk factors for the development of new ABI in 664 older men and in 1488 older women, predominantly white, were prior ABI (risk ratio = 2.6 in men and 2.9 in women), cigarette smoking (risk ratio = 1.9 in women), hypertension (risk ratio = 2.2 in men and 2.4 in women), diabetes mellitus (risk ratio = 1.5 in men and 1.5 in women), serum total cholesterol (risk ratio = 1.01 for each 1 mg/dL increase in women), and serum HDL cholesterol (risk ratio = 1.03 for each 1 mg/dl decrease in women).

Significant independent risk factors for the development of new ABI in 204 older African American men and in 462 older African American women were age (risk ratio = 1.03 for each increment of 1 year of age in women), prior ABI (risk ratio = 1.9 in men and 2.6 in women), cigarette smoking (risk ratio =2.8 in women), hypertension (risk ratio = 4.4 in men and 5.9 in women), diabetes mellitus (risk ratio = 2.9 in men and 3.5 in women), serum total cholesterol (risk ratio = 1.01 for each 1 mg/dl increase in women), and serum HDL cholesterol (risk ratio = 1.04 for each 1 mg/dl decrease in women).

The data from this study show that risk factor modification should be intensified in an older Hispanic population to reduce the incidence of new ABI. Cessation of cigarette smoking and treatment of hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes mellitus, and obesity should reduce the incidence of new ABI in older Hispanic men and women.

Received March 2, 2001

Accepted March 28, 2001


    References
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  1. Wolf PA, 1994. Cerebrovascular disease in the elderly. Tresch DD, Aronow WS, , ed.Cardiovascular Disease in the Elderly Patient 125-147. Marcel Dekker, New York.
  2. Aronow WS, Ahn C, Kronzon I, Gutstein H, Schoenfeld MR, 1997. Association of extracranial carotid arterial disease, prior atherothrombotic brain infarction, systemic hypertension, and left ventricular hypertrophy with the incidence of new atherothrombotic brain infarction at 45-month follow-up in 1,482 older patients. Am J Cardiol. 79:991-993. [Medline]
  3. Aronow WS, Ahn C, Gutstein H, 1996. Risk factors for new atherothrombotic brain infarction in 664 older men and 1,488 older women. Am J Cardiol. 77:1381-1383. [Medline]
  4. Garland C, Barrett-Connor E, Suarez L, Criqui MH, 1983. Isolated systolic hypertension and mortality after age 60 years: a prospective population-based study. Am J Epidemiol. 118:365-376. [Abstract/Free Full Text]
  5. SHEP Cooperative Research Group1991. Prevention of stroke by antihypertensive drug treatment in older persons with isolated systolic hypertension: final results of the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP). JAMA. 265:3255-3264. [Abstract/Free Full Text]
  6. Barrett-Connor E, Khaw K-T, 1988. Diabetes mellitus: an independent risk factor for stroke. Am J Epidemiol. 128:116-123. [Abstract/Free Full Text]
  7. Khaw K-T, Barrett-Connor E, Suarez L, Criqui MH, 1984. Predictors of stroke-associated mortality in the elderly. Stroke. 15:244-248. [Abstract/Free Full Text]
  8. Bihari-Varga M, Szekely J, Gruber E, 1981. Plasma high density plasma lipoproteins in coronary, cerebral and peripheral vascular disease. Atherosclerosis. 40:337-345. [Medline]
  9. Aronow WS, Ahn C, Gutstein H, 2000. Increased plasma homocysteine is an independent predictor of new atherothrombotic brain infarction in older persons. Am J Cardiol. 86:585-586. [Medline]
  10. The Sixth Report of the Joint National Committee on the Prevention, Detection, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure. Arch Intern Med. 1997;157:2413–2444.
  11. The Expert Committee on the Diagnosis and Classification of Diabetes Mellitus1997. Report of the expert committee on the diagnosis and classification of diabetes mellitus. Diabetes Care. 20:1183-1197. [Medline]
  12. Master AM, Lasser RP, Beckman G, 1960. Tables of average weight and height of Americans aged 65 to 94 years: relationship of weight and height to survival. JAMA. 172:658-662.
  13. Aronow WS, Ahn C, Gutstein H, 1999. Risk factors for new atherothrombotic brain infarction in older African-American men and women. Am J Cardiol. 83:1144-1145. [Medline]



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