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Population Studies Center, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia.
Address correspondence to Douglas Ewbank, PhD, Population Studies Center, University of Pennsylvania, 3718 Locust Walk, Philadelphia, PA 19104-6298. E-mail: ewbank{at}pop.upenn.edu
Background. The gene for apolipoprotein-E (APOE) has three common alleles (
2, 3, and 4) that have been shown to be associated with differences in the risk of death in persons older than 60 years in European populations. However, previous research suggests that they may not be associated with mortality in African Americans, and the evidence in Asians is mixed. It is now possible to examine the effects of these genotypes on mortality in African American, Chinese, Japanese, and Korean populations.
Methods. The analysis is based on two types of published data: genotype by age and mortality by genotype. Demographic synthesis uses a multistate model to combine data from these case–control and cohort studies to provide maximum likelihood estimates of the relative risks of death.
Results. In general, the APOE 2 allele is associated with 5%–10% lower mortality than the 3/3 genotype. The 4/4 allele is generally associated with a moderately high relative risk of death. The 3/4 genotype is associated with 22% excess risk in Europeans and U.S. whites and with about 35% in Chinese. However, there is no evidence of excess risk with 3/4 among African Americans and little excess risk among Japanese and Koreans. The relationship between genotype and mortality is consistent within these ethnic groups. For example, the estimates of R3/4 for Japanese in Japan and Hawaii are both low, and the estimates for Chinese in Taiwan and Shanghai are relatively high.
Conclusions. The relationship between APOE genotype and mortality differs across population groups but shows little evidence of variation within groups.
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